Rerate idea

[nyrgm]

Hey gentleman,

I want to start of by saying that I have no idea how rerates are done and wouldn't dream of pretending I did.

With that said, I understand it is a lot for Roger to have given us player forcasts in the past (you're the best Roger!) and completely understand that it is not realistic or fair for him to provide this service to all of us going forward.

My question is: is there an algorithm or some general rule that could be applied by each gm individually to their own candidates so that we could continue to make educated decisions as to who to use this very valuable resource on each off-season?

Some guys are clear cut rerates but often times there are 3 or 4 guys that you could really benefit from knowing (at least to an extent) what they will look like afterwards.

[nyrgm]

Bump.

I would really like to explore this.

[ColumbusGM]

I’d love to provide an answer to how it does or doesn’t work, but I don’t know exactly how it ends up getting done. I like to think there’s some art to it, rather than just a flow chart approach, as there’s a little more to some stats than simply numbers…

For instance, 10 goals scored even strength is far more impressive than ten empty net goals, in my opinion (I mean, it would be impressive that 10 times you did score an empty net goal, just not as impressive as beating a goalie 10 times…). 10 short handed goals is more impressive than 10 power play goals, etc.

I’ve had decent luck mentally forecasting my rerates, they normally end up exactly as I expect, within a point or two…

[nyrgm]

I definitely see what you're saying. The issue I think is when you have a bunch of guys who are really close or even guys that are equally good, but at different aspects of the game.

I'm obviously not talking about the clear cut rerate guys.

I guess maybe if I just pay more attention to how they're done I'd get a better idea. We've just been so spoiled.

[ALL CAPS]

The best advice i can offer you would be to find a group of about 5-10 comparable players (style, dimensions, production, etc) and then average out their ratings on a quick spreadsheet - that could conceivably be about where you would expect your guy to be.

[CalgaryGM]

That's what I do Rob. It really does help when you have a number of players to re-rate and they are pretty close in stats to one another.